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What matters more: the data or the moment?

  • Ryan Thompson
  • Dec 17, 2025
  • 1 min read

During the Broncos–Packers game, Sean Payton faced decisions every leader recognizes: go with what the numbers recommend, or trust what you’re seeing unfold in real time. After the win, his comments stirred debate because they highlighted a simple truth -


Football is business, just faster and louder.


It’s planning, risk, performance, and accountability happening under pressure. Analytics play an important role, but they’re not the final answer. Data helps us understand what usually works. Experience helps us decide what makes sense right now.

Payton wasn’t dismissing analytics. He was adding context - how his players were responding, how the game was flowing, where momentum was shifting. Those factors don’t always show up in a spreadsheet, but they still affect outcomes.


Data offers guidance. Experience offers judgment.


The best decisions come from using both.

A few lessons that translate well beyond football:


1. Data supports decisions, but people still make them. Dashboards and reports are tools. They don’t replace responsibility or accountability.

2. Context matters more than we admit. Trends and averages are helpful until conditions change. Experience helps you recognize when they have.

3. Numbers don’t capture everything that affects performance. Confidence, trust, and timing are real drivers of results, even if they’re hard to measure.

The takeaway from Payton’s comments isn’t that analytics are wrong. It’s that good judgment comes from learning when to rely on them — and when to look up from them.


In football and in work, the strongest leaders understand the data and the moment they’re operating in - and know how to balance both.

 
 
 

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